| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | ||
| Bath Rugby | 77% | 1% | 22% | Montpellier |
| Northampton Saints | 99% | 0% | 1% | Benetton Treviso |
| Saracens | 92% | 0% | 8% | Sale Sharks |
| Racing Metro | 32% | 3% | 64% | Ospreys |
| Clermont Auvergne | 56% | 1% | 43% | Munster |
| Scarlets | 29% | 1% | 70% | Ulster |
| Leinster | 77% | 1% | 22% | Harlequins |
| Glasgow | 74% | 1% | 25% | Toulouse |
| Toulon | 67% | 0% | 33% | Leicester Tigers |
| London Wasps | 74% | 3% | 24% | Castres |
70% for Ulster seems a bit steep – how much does the model count for the absence of injured (or indeed suspended – injured in the case of Ulster) players?