A week of mixed results. The model may have only correctly predicted 8 from 12 games (for an overall accuracy this season so far of 73%), but my bets all came good – including the first of the year where I disagreed with the bookies on Gloucester toppling Leicester at home. My stake is now … [Read more…]
Things are starting to heat up in both leagues, with teams such as Harlequins and Munster already having to pick up their game if they expect to be challenging for the playoffs. Of the two, Munster have a vastly bigger task facing them week – a trip to the Aviva rather than a home game … [Read more…]
Oof. Not a great weekend, but could have been worse! With four upsets on the first two days, things were looking a little bit hairy, but in the end a solid 8 from 12 correct predictions means the Crystal Egg is back to its average of 75% correct calls for the season. In betting terms, … [Read more…]
Another short post this weekend from a trip home to Cork. Pro 12 Home Win Draw Away Win Edinburgh 54% 5% 42% Scarlets Glasgow 90% 3% 7% Connacht Leinster 95% 1% 4% Cardiff Blues Zebre 4% 1% 95% Ulster Munster 62% 3% 35% Ospreys Dragons 81% 3% 16% Benetton Treviso 5 out of 6 home … [Read more…]
Another weekend of 75% correct predictions is starting to look like a habit. As expected, the Pro 12 was a bit easier to call, with 5/6 correct – the only exception being Leinster’s customary slip up in the Sportsground. The Premiership saw Exeter edge out Gloucester in a tight game, while Bath surprised everyone by … [Read more…]
Apologies for the delay in getting this one posted. Staying up all night watching Scottish referendum coverage means that it’s a little more rushed than usual! Pro 12 Home Win Draw Away Win Connacht 16% 3% 81% Leinster Cardiff Blues 15% 4% 81% Ulster Munster 98% 0% 1% Zebre Ospreys 91% 2% 7% Edinburgh Scarlets … [Read more…]
A much improved weekend all round for Irish provinces, the model and my pocket! Irish teams went four from four in the Pro 12, the Crystal Egg correctly predicted the outcome of ten from twelve games and all four of my bets (on Ospreys, Munster, Gloucester and London Irish) went the right way, to see … [Read more…]
Another week of rugby, another round of predictions – with average certainty hovering at around 75%, another week of 9/12 correct calls would feel like a reasonable result. Pro 12 Home Team Draw Away Team Edinburgh 59% 8% 33% Connacht Dragons 19% 3% 78% Ospreys Ulster 99% 0% 1% Zebre Benetton Treviso 12% 5% 84% … [Read more…]
How did the model do this weekend? What does last weekend mean for the leagues come May? How does the model compare to bookies’ odds in the past? Well it was a bit of mixed weekend for the model. Munster’s appalling loss to Edinburgh and Ulster’s last minute draw means I had a meagre … [Read more…]
It’s the first Friday of the Aviva Premiership and Guinness Pro 12 seasons, and the first chance to fire up the Crystal Egg for new games! Without further ado, here are the predictions for the weekend ahead: Pro 12 Home Team Draw Away Team Munster 94% 1% 4% Edinburgh Ospreys 95% 2% 3% Benetton Treviso … [Read more…]